Simulations

Week 13 Simulation Data – 2014

PLAYOFF
Overall (w/W, w/L), if Win Out (probability) TEAM vs. opponent (Win%)
69.88% (76.22%, 44%), 100% (55.01%) Florida St vs. Florida (80.32% win)
54.32% (70.39%, 0%), 92.6% (58.63%) Marshall vs. W Kentucky (77.16% win)
51.68% (61.11%, 10.28%), 100% (49.49%) Ohio St vs. Michigan (81.43% win)
46.15% (63.27%, 11.68%), 100% (41.79%) Alabama vs. Auburn (66.8% win)
44.27% (51.61%, 0.96%), 95.9% (46%) Oregon vs. Oregon St (85.5% win)
34.96% (53.66%, 0%), 62.5% (55.89%) Miss St vs. Ole Miss (65.15% win)
33.73% (45.91%, 0%), 94% (35.88%) UCLA vs. Stanford (73.46% win)
25.08% (36.82%, 0%), 39.6% (63.22%) TCU vs. Texas (68.11% win)
13.69% (22.92%, 0%), 53.9% (25.39%) Wisconsin vs. Minnesota (59.72% win)
9.9% (15.51%, 0%), 38.1% (25.94%) Missouri vs. Arkansas (63.79% win)
3.17% (3.76%, 0%), 6.8% (46.29%) Baylor vs. Texas Tech (84.19% win)
2.94% (5.79%, 0%), 6.7% (43.24%) Arizona vs. Arizona St (50.71% win)
2.93% (6.3%, 0%), 17.8% (16.43%) Ga Tech vs. Georgia (46.48% win)
2.77% (5.17%, 0%), 6.6% (41.88%) Georgia vs. Ga Tech (53.52% win)
1.91% (3.87%, 0%), 4.6% (41.51%) Arizona St vs. Arizona (49.29% win)
1.71% (2.91%, 0%), 3.6% (46.24%) Boise St vs. Utah St (58.74% win)
0.73% (1.08%, 0%), 1.1% (61.15%) Colo St vs. Air Force (67.13% win)
0.18% (0.21%, 0%), 0.4% (40.15%) Kansas St vs. Kansas (85.16% win)

NYS BOWL
Overall (w/W, w/L), If Win Out (probability) TEAM vs. opponent (Win%)
95.14% (100%, 85.36%), 100% (41.79%) Alabama vs. Auburn (66.8% win)
95.09% (100%, 75.05%), 100% (55.01%) Florida St vs. Florida (80.32% win)
91.75% (100%, 55.57%), 100% (49.49%) Ohio St vs. Michigan (81.43% win)
86.95% (93.7%, 47.1%), 100% (46%) Oregon vs. Oregon St (85.5% win)
83.1% (99.72%, 52.02%), 100% (55.89%) Miss St vs. Ole Miss (65.15% win)
71.72% (82.16%, 36.42%), 100% (58.63%) Marshall vs. W Kentucky (77.16% win)
70.89% (94.43%, 20.6%), 100% (63.22%) TCU vs. Texas (68.11% win)
69.5% (88.38%, 17.21%), 100% (35.88%) UCLA vs. Stanford (73.46% win)
65.3% (97.37%, 37.44%), 100% (16.43%) Ga Tech vs. Georgia (46.48% win)
50.56% (57.16%, 15.37%), 100% (46.29%) Baylor vs. Texas Tech (84.19% win)
50.41% (75.09%, 0%), 82.4% (61.15%) Colo St vs. Air Force (67.13% win)
46.25% (78.73%, 0%), 100% (46.24%) Boise St vs. Utah St (58.74% win)
45.13% (88.99%, 0%), 99.6% (43.24%) Arizona vs. Arizona St (50.71% win)
44.45% (49.39%, 37.11%), 100% (25.39%) Wisconsin vs. Minnesota (59.72% win)
41.61% (67.2%, 12.13%), 84.4% (41.88%) Georgia vs. Ga Tech (53.52% win)
40.45% (53.66%, 0%), 53.6% (75.38%) Mich St vs. Penn State (75.38% win)
39.48% (80.09%, 0%), 94.2% (41.51%) Arizona St vs. Arizona (49.29% win)
38.5% (44.99%, 1.21%), 94.8% (40.15%) Kansas St vs. Kansas (85.16% win)
27.08% (42.45%, 0%), 100% (25.94%) Missouri vs. Arkansas (63.79% win)
20.69% (34.08%, 0.05%), 34% (60.65%) Clemson vs. S Carolina (60.65% win)
11.55% (15.63%, 0%), 15.6% (73.86%) Louisville vs. Kentucky (73.86% win)
5.51% (16.59%, 0%), 16.5% (33.2%) Auburn vs. Alabama (33.2% win)
2.27% (4%, 0%), 5.8% (38.85%) N Illinois vs. W Michigan (56.62% win)
2.16% (5.23%, 0%), 5.7% (37.45%) Utah St vs. Boise St (41.26% win)
1.39% (3.04%, 0.07%), 11.1% (12.07%) La Tech vs. Rice (44.38% win)
1.24% (1.47%, 0%), 1.4% (84.08%) Memphis vs. UConn (84.08% win)
0.67% (1.66%, 0%), 1.6% (40.28%) Minnesota vs. Wisconsin (40.28% win)
0.35% (0.47%, 0%), 0.8% (39.97%) C Florida vs. S Florida (74.32% win)
0.3% (0.42%, 0%), 0.6% (44.71%) Cincy vs. Temple (70.3% win)
0.3% (0.69%, 0%), 0.7% (39.66%) W Michigan vs. N Illinois (43.38% win)
0.15% (0.43%, 0%), 0.4% (34.85%) Ole Miss vs. Miss St (34.85% win)
0.03% (0.03%, 0%), 0% (62.28%) Toledo vs. E Michigan (78.09% win)
0.02% (0.02%, 0%), 0% (71.41%) Ga Southern vs. La Monroe (71.41% win)
0.01% (0.01%, 0%), 0% (76.77%) Duke vs. W Forest (76.77% win)

GAME SWING
(Playoff, NYS Bowl), FAVORITE vs. Underdog (Win%)
(4.81%, 84.47%), Arizona vs. Arizona St (50.71% win)
(5.77%, 57.66%), Georgia vs. Ga Tech (53.52% win)
(1.2%, 35.55%), Boise St vs. Utah St (58.74% win)
(18.7%, 16.9%), Miss St vs. Ole Miss (65.15% win)
(11.74%, 23.54%), TCU vs. Texas (68.11% win)
(17.12%, 15.94%), Alabama vs. Auburn (66.8% win)
(12.18%, 18.88%), UCLA vs. Stanford (73.46% win)
(16.07%, 10.44%), Marshall vs. W Kentucky (77.16% win)
(0.35%, 24.68%), Colo St vs. Air Force (67.13% win)
(5.61%, 15.37%), Missouri vs. Arkansas (63.79% win)
(9.43%, 8.25%), Ohio St vs. Michigan (81.43% win)
(9.23%, 5.93%), Wisconsin vs. Minnesota (59.72% win)
(7.34%, 6.75%), Oregon vs. Oregon St (85.5% win)
(0%, 13.39%), Clemson vs. S Carolina (60.65% win)
(0%, 13.21%), Mich St vs. Penn State (75.38% win)
(6.34%, 4.91%), Florida St vs. Florida (80.32% win)
(0.59%, 6.60%), Baylor vs. Texas Tech (84.19% win)
(0.03%, 6.49%), Kansas St vs. Kansas (85.16% win)
(0%, 4.08%), Louisville vs. Kentucky (73.86% win)
(0%, 2.12%), N Illinois vs. W Michigan (56.62% win)
(0%, 1.65%), Rice vs. La Tech (55.62% win)
(0%, 0.23%), Memphis vs. UConn (84.08% win)
(0%, 0.12%), Cincy vs. Temple (70.3% win)
(0%, 0.12%), C Florida vs. S Florida (74.32% win)

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