Simulations

Week 14A Simulation Data – 2014

The following simulation features a game between TCU and Baylor on the final week of the regular season as per Wild Card Guidelines. TCU’s victory over Iowa State has been moved to Week 4 while Baylor’s victory over Kansas State has been moved to week 12.

PLAYOFF
Overall (w/W, w/L), if Win Out (probability) TEAM vs. opponent (Win%)
70.95% (100%, 19.79%), 100% (63.78%) Florida St vs. Ga Tech (63.78% win)
59.92% (100%, 0%), 100% (59.92%) Alabama vs. Missouri (59.92% win)
58.95% (100%, 0%), 100% (58.95%) Ohio St vs. Wisconsin (58.95% win)
53.63% (100%, 0%), 100% (53.63%) TCU vs. Baylor (53.63% win)
47.9% (87.82%, 0%), 87.8% (54.54%) Oregon vs. Arizona (54.54% win)
40.67% (87.7%, 0%), 87.7% (46.37%) Baylor vs. TCU (46.37% win)
32.79% (72.12%, 0%), 72.1% (45.46%) Arizona vs. Oregon (45.46% win)
26.11% (63.6%, 0%), 63.6% (41.05%) Wisconsin vs. Ohio St (41.05% win)
7.21% (17.98%, 0%), 17.9% (40.08%) Missouri vs. Alabama (40.08% win)
1.87% (5.16%, 0%), 5.1% (36.22%) Ga Tech vs. Florida St (36.22% win)

NYS BOWL
Overall (w/W, w/L), If Win Out (probability) TEAM vs. opponent (Win%)
100% (100%, 100%), 100% (59.92%) Alabama vs. Missouri (59.92% win)
100% (100%, 100%), 100% (63.78%) Florida St vs. Ga Tech (63.78% win)
100% (100%, 100%), 100% (36.22%) Ga Tech vs. Florida St (36.22% win)
100% (100%, 100%), 100% (58.95%) Ohio St vs. Wisconsin (58.95% win)
100% (N/A, N/A), N/A (100%) Mich St vs. BYE (0% win)
100% (100%, 100%), 100% (53.63%) TCU vs. Baylor (53.63% win)
100% (100%, 100%), 100% (54.54%) Oregon vs. Arizona (54.54% win)
96.71% (100%, 93.86%), 100% (46.37%) Baylor vs. TCU (46.37% win)
82.86% (N/A, N/A), N/A (100%) Miss St vs. BYE (0% win)
78.28% (100%, 0%), 100% (78.28%) Boise St vs. Fresno St (78.28% win)
78.09% (100%, 59.82%), 100% (45.46%) Arizona vs. Oregon (45.46% win)
58.81% (100%, 30.12%), 100% (41.05%) Wisconsin vs. Ohio St (41.05% win)
56.87% (90.62%, 0%), 90.6% (62.75%) Marshall vs. La Tech (62.75% win)
40.08% (100%, 0%), 100% (40.08%) Missouri vs. Alabama (40.08% win)
6.46% (8.63%, 0%), 8.6% (74.84%) N Illinois vs. BGU (74.84% win)
1.84% (4.93%, 0%), 4.9% (37.25%) La Tech vs. Marshall (37.25% win)

GAME SWING
(Playoff, NYS Bowl), FAVORITE vs. Underdog (Win%)
(78.54%, 41.19%), Ohio St vs. Wisconsin (58.95% win)
(50.85%, 59.92%), Alabama vs. Missouri (59.92% win)
(79.25%, 21.91%), Oregon vs. Arizona (54.54% win)
(93.4%, 3.29%), TCU vs. Baylor (53.63% win)
(0%, 36.84%), Marshall vs. La Tech (62.75% win)
(32.34%, 0%), Florida St vs. Ga Tech (63.78% win)
(0%, 21.72%), Boise St vs. Fresno St (78.28% win)
(0%, 2.17%), N Illinois vs. BGU (74.84% win)

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