Preview

Week 5 New Years Six Preview

Teams that control their own conference fate, their game this week and some simulated percentages of winning their division and making it to a NY6 Bowl (win Conference + NY6 At Large)

ACC-Atlantic
61% Florida State (vs. Miami 77%) NY6: (4517+1097)
32% Clemson (vs. Georgia Tech 74%) NY6: (2251+1997)
1% Syracuse (vs. South Florida 68%) NY6: (93+51)

ACC-Coastal
39% Duke (vs. Army 88%) NY6: (1286+49)
23% UNC (bye) NY6: (613+13)
18% Pittsburgh (vs. Virginia 59%) NY6: (485+24)

Big 12
37% TCU (vs. Kansas State 70%) NY6: (3756+1774)
29% Oklahoma (vs. Texas 79%) NY6: (2960+1768)
14% OK State (vs. West Virginia) NY6: (1463+1499)
12% Baylor (vs. Kansas 91%) NY6: (1261+2106)
<1% Iowa State (vs. Texas Tech 34%) NY6: (23+0)

Big Ten-East
56% Ohio State (vs. Maryland 88%) NY6: (4292+3695)
28% Michigan State (vs. Rutgers 83%) NY6: (2070+4799)
7% Penn State (vs. Indiana 57%) NY6: (372+366)
6% Michigan (vs. Northwestern 50%) NY6: (361+1538)

Big Ten-West
36% Northwestern (vs. Michigan 49%) NY6: (1062+2053)
31% Iowa (vs. Illinois 57%) NY6: (871+993)
15% Illinois (vs. Iowa 42%) NY6: (378+197)
<1% Purdue (vs. Minnesota 19%) NY6: (7+0)

Pac-12 North
56% Stanford (bye) NY6: (2471+1128)
25% California (vs. Utah 34%) NY6: (1011+806)
16% Oregon (vs. Wash St 77%) NY6: (662+317)

Pac-12 South
44% Utah (vs. California 65%) NY6: (2752+2661)
15% USC (vs. Washington 68%) NY6: (832+965)
<1% Colorado (vs. Arizona State 23%) NY6: (31+10)

SEC-East
73% Florida (vs. Missouri 61%) NY6: (3440+2033)
12% Georgia (vs. Tennessee 74%) NY6: (519+1074)

SEC-West
40% LSU (vs. South Carolina 81%) NY6: (2363+2871)
27% Texas A&M (bye) NY6: (1473+2739)
12% Ole Miss (vs. NMSU 95%) NY6: (608+1232)

Teams controlling their fate within Go5 conferences; >5% NY6 chances
*36% Toledo (vs. Kent State 86%) Win MAC-37%
*30% Memphis (bye) Win AAC-26%
*18% Navy (vs. Notre Dame 43%) Win AAC-16%
*17% Temple (vs. Tulane 75%) Win AAC-30%
16% Boise State (vs. Colorado State 75%) Win MW-41%
*13% Houston (vs. SMU 86%) Win AAC-16%
11% Western Kentucky (vs. MTSU 76%) Win CUSA-36%
9% Marshall (vs. Southern Miss 72%) Win CUSA-23%
*controls NY6 destiny, possibility of multiple undefeated Go5 teams

Teams with >5% NY6 chances while not in their conferences’ driver seats
34% UCLA (bye) Win P12-13%
33% Alabama (vs. Arkansas 77%) Win SEC-10%
19% Notre Dame (vs. Navy 56%)
11% Missouri (vs. Florida 38%) Win SEC-2%
9% Arizona State (vs. Colorado 76%) Win P12-6%
8% Kansas State (vs. TCU 29%) Win B12-2%
7% West Virginia (vs. OK State (39%) Win B12-2%
7% Minnesota (vs. Purdue 80%) Win BT-1%
6% Kentucky (bye) Win SEC-2%
5% Indiana (vs. Penn State 42%) Win BT <1%
5% Mississippi State (vs. Troy 90%) Win SEC <1%
5% Wisconsin (vs. Nebraska 61%) Win BT-3%

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