Everyone’s a winner… except those who lost. 4 undefeated teams lost this week, and some teams’ playoff chances jumped considerably.
Alabama and Georgia face the possibility of turning the SEC Championship into a meaningless exhibition game if both go 12-0 with a guaranteed fallback as a “visiting” playoff team.
USC and Miami, already top contenders for their conferences’ championships, now face an easier road to those titles.
Surprisingly, the only teams whose positions were hurt were Alabama and Georgia, should they stumble before the SECCG.
| This Week’s Overall Top Five | ||
| (1) 67.41% Alabama (2) 53.21% Penn State (3) 45.89% Georgia (4) 37.27% Wisconsin (5) 35.50% Miami |
||
| Playoff Chance | Record |
Team (chance of record)
|
| Guarantees (>95%) | ||
| 99.9%, +1% | Undefeated | Penn State (17%) |
| 99.0%, +1% | Undefeated | Georgia (13%) |
| 98.6%, +9% | Undefeated | Alabama (35%) |
| other “Guarantees” if win-out (%): 99.3% Notre Dame, 97.4% Michigan | ||
| Contenders (<60%) | ||
| 91.8%, +6% | 1-loss At Large | Wisconsin (15%) |
| 91.5%, +4% | Undefeated | Wisconsin (14%) |
| 90.9%, +5% | 1-loss At Large | Georgia (19%) |
| 89.5%, +16% | Undefeated | Miami (16%) |
| 87.5%, +25% | 1-loss At Large | Alabama (24%) |
| 85.8%, +4% | 1-loss Champ | Ohio State (8%) |
| 76.4%, +11% | 1-loss At Large | Penn State (26%) |
| 71.4%, +12% | 1-loss Champ | USC (21%) |
| 67.6%, +5% | Undefeated | TCU (15%) |
| 66.8%, +12% | 1-loss Champ | Penn State (13%) |
| 66.7%, +22% | 1-loss At Large | Miami (16%) |
| Need Help (<60%) | ||
| 55.3%, +3% | 1-loss Champ | Clemson (17%) |
| 55.2%, +10% | Undefeated | Central Florida (9%) |
| 50.4%, -3% | 1-loss Champ | Georgia (14%) |
| 50.4%, new | 2-loss At Large | USC (15%) |
| 49.9%, +2% | 1-loss Champ | Wisconsin (17%) |
| 49.9%, new | 1-loss Champ | Miami (18%) |
| 47.5%, -2% | 1-loss Champ | Alabama (17%) |
| 34.3%, new | 2-loss Champ | USC (21%) |
| others who “Need Help” if win-out (%): 53.7% Oklahoma, 53.1% Navy, 49.9% Wash St, 49.0% NC State, 46.4% Kentucky, 41.7% Stanford, 41.5% Washington, 36.8% Iowa, 33.6% Virginia Tech, 29.2% OK State, 19.4% Memphis, 18.0% USF | ||
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