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Week 7 Playoff Picture

Everyone’s a winner… except those who lost. 4 undefeated teams lost this week, and some teams’ playoff chances jumped considerably.

Alabama and Georgia face the possibility of turning the SEC Championship into a meaningless exhibition game if both go 12-0 with a guaranteed fallback as a “visiting” playoff team.

USC and Miami, already top contenders for their conferences’ championships, now face an easier road to those titles.

Surprisingly, the only teams whose positions were hurt were Alabama and Georgia, should they stumble before the SECCG.

This Week’s Overall Top Five
(1) 67.41% Alabama
(2) 53.21% Penn State
(3) 45.89% Georgia
(4) 37.27% Wisconsin
(5) 35.50% Miami
Playoff Chance Record
Team (chance of record)
Guarantees (>95%)
99.9%, +1% Undefeated Penn State (17%)
99.0%, +1% Undefeated Georgia (13%)
98.6%, +9% Undefeated Alabama (35%)
other “Guarantees” if win-out (%): 99.3% Notre Dame, 97.4% Michigan
Contenders (<60%)
91.8%, +6% 1-loss At Large Wisconsin (15%)
91.5%, +4% Undefeated Wisconsin (14%)
90.9%, +5% 1-loss At Large Georgia (19%)
89.5%, +16% Undefeated Miami (16%)
87.5%, +25% 1-loss At Large Alabama (24%)
85.8%, +4% 1-loss Champ Ohio State (8%)
76.4%, +11% 1-loss At Large Penn State (26%)
71.4%, +12% 1-loss Champ USC (21%)
67.6%, +5% Undefeated TCU (15%)
66.8%, +12% 1-loss Champ Penn State (13%)
66.7%, +22% 1-loss At Large Miami (16%)
Need Help (<60%)
55.3%, +3% 1-loss Champ Clemson (17%)
55.2%, +10% Undefeated Central Florida (9%)
50.4%, -3% 1-loss Champ Georgia (14%)
50.4%, new 2-loss At Large USC (15%)
49.9%, +2% 1-loss Champ Wisconsin (17%)
49.9%, new 1-loss Champ Miami (18%)
47.5%, -2% 1-loss Champ Alabama (17%)
34.3%, new 2-loss Champ USC (21%)
others who “Need Help” if win-out (%): 53.7% Oklahoma, 53.1% Navy, 49.9% Wash St, 49.0% NC State, 46.4% Kentucky, 41.7% Stanford, 41.5% Washington, 36.8% Iowa, 33.6% Virginia Tech, 29.2% OK State, 19.4% Memphis, 18.0% USF

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