Week 11 Data Dump

This document lists the result of simulating the remainder of the season 10,000 times. Part A lists the scenarios for each team making the playoff. Part B lists teams by their overall playoff percentage and the impact of their upcoming game has on their chances. Part C lists the total number of Division, Conference, and National titles along with average record. Part D lists the impact each remaining game has on determining the playoff field.

“wo” = win out; “ch” = 1-loss champion; “ccl” = only loss in CCG; “al” = 1-loss at-large; “cw” = 2-loss champion
fractions indicate the number of playoff appearances per scenario frequency – total TEAM
wo:2272/2364 ch:2272/2364 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:18/1300 – 2290Florida
wo:5772/5772 ch:5772/5772 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:145/505 – 5974Alabama
wo:6157/6157 ch:122/499 ccl:21/3010 al:0/0 cw:0/10 – 6300Clemson
wo:924/2289 ch:924/2289 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:0/951 – 924UNC
wo:2829/5968 ch:0/0 ccl:0/0 al:2829/5968 cw:0/3870 – 2829N Dame
wo:2/959 ch:0/0 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:0/0 – 2Penn State
wo:3293/3293 ch:756/789 ccl:747/1588 al:562/2948 cw:0/0 – 5358Ohio St
wo:534/1125 ch:0/0 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:507/631 – 534Michigan
wo:1158/1186 ch:1158/1186 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:0/0 – 1158Mich St
wo:2/4232 ch:0/0 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:2/16 – 2Wisconsin
wo:3353/3353 ch:57/693 ccl:25/4810 al:0/0 cw:0/11 – 3435Iowa
wo:2383/2639 ch:2383/2639 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:0/55 – 2383Oklahoma
wo:206/2481 ch:88/373 ccl:0/0 al:118/2108 cw:0/0 – 206TCU
wo:3658/3658 ch:157/2331 ccl:0/0 al:38/2468 cw:0/0 – 3853OK State
wo:135/1279 ch:132/944 ccl:0/0 al:3/335 cw:0/0 – 135Baylor
wo:69/1352 ch:0/0 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:0/0 – 69USC
wo:637/1781 ch:0/0 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:637/1781 – 637Stanford
wo:3133/4071 ch:0/397 ccl:0/1207 al:0/3779 cw:0/0 – 3133Houston
wo:745/2724 ch:745/2724 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:0/335 – 745Navy
wo:8/3212 ch:0/0 ccl:0/0 al:0/0 cw:8/3212 – 8BGU
wo:25/2582 ch:25/1027 ccl:0/0 al:0/1555 cw:0/495 – 25Toledo

PLAYOFF
Overall (w/W, w/L), if Win Out (probability) TEAM vs. opponent (Win%)
63% (64.52%, 17.79%), 100% (61.57%) Clemson vs. W Forest (96.74% win)
59.74% (59.87%, 4.16%), 100% (57.72%) Alabama vs. FCS (99.76% win)
53.58% (68.88%, 21.93%), 100% (32.93%) Ohio St vs. Mich St (67.4% win)
38.53% (55.49%, 4.48%), 100% (36.58%) OK State vs. Baylor (66.75% win)
34.35% (35.71%, 3.32%), 100% (33.53%) Iowa vs. Purdue (95.79% win)
31.33% (34.59%, 0%), 76.9% (40.71%) Houston vs. UConn (90.57% win)
28.29% (29.36%, 0%), 47.4% (59.68%) N Dame vs. BC (96.35% win)
23.83% (41.84%, 0%), 90.2% (26.39%) Oklahoma vs. TCU (56.95% win)
22.9% (23.58%, 0.67%), 96.1% (23.64%) Florida vs. FAU (97.03% win)
11.58% (35.52%, 0%), 97.6% (11.86%) Mich St vs. Ohio St (32.6% win)
9.24% (11.13%, 0%), 40.3% (22.89%) UNC vs. Va Tech (83.01% win)
7.45% (8.54%, 0.07%), 27.3% (27.24%) Navy vs. Tulsa (87.14% win)
6.37% (8.01%, 0%), 35.7% (17.81%) Stanford vs. California (79.48% win)
5.34% (8.03%, 0%), 47.4% (11.25%) Michigan vs. Penn State (66.44% win)
2.06% (4.78%, 0%), 8.3% (24.81%) TCU vs. Oklahoma (43.05% win)
1.35% (4.06%, 0%), 10.5% (12.79%) Baylor vs. OK State (33.25% win)
0.69% (1.4%, 0%), 5.1% (13.52%) USC vs. Oregon (49.11% win)
0.25% (0.51%, 0%), 0.9% (25.82%) Toledo vs. BGU (48.59% win)
0.08% (0.15%, 0%), 0.2% (32.12%) BGU vs. Toledo (51.41% win)
0.02% (0.05%, 0%), 0.2% (9.59%) Penn State vs. Michigan (33.56% win)
0.02% (0.03%, 0%), 0% (42.32%) Wisconsin vs. N’western (51.26% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (54.49%) Georgia vs. Ga Southern (63.37% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (45.44%) Tennessee vs. Missouri (62.75% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (5.25%) S Carolina vs. FCS (95.76% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (16.8%) Kentucky vs. Charlotte (84.64% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (10.21%) Missouri vs. Tennessee (37.25% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (7.64%) Vanderbilt vs. Texas A*M (24.8% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (42.89%) LSU vs. Ole Miss (62.14% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (8.44%) Auburn vs. Idaho (88.74% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (37.14%) Arkansas vs. Miss St (49.35% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (16.9%) Ole Miss vs. LSU (37.86% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (24.11%) Texas A*M vs. Vanderbilt (75.2% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (27.7%) Miss St vs. Arkansas (50.65% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (34.57%) Florida St vs. FCS (99.48% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (2%) BC vs. N Dame (3.65% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (0.98%) W Forest vs. Clemson (3.26% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (39.15%) Louisville vs. Pittsburgh (48.43% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (15.46%) NC State vs. Syracuse (78.5% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (12.12%) Syracuse vs. NC State (21.5% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (27.63%) Pittsburgh vs. Louisville (51.57% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (37.65%) Miami vs. Ga Tech (79.46% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (3.56%) Ga Tech vs. Miami (20.54% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (11.45%) Va Tech vs. UNC (16.99% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (11.04%) Virginia vs. Duke (31.63% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (52%) Duke vs. Virginia (68.37% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (16.9%) Maryland vs. Indiana (37.74% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (45.84%) Rutgers vs. Army (81.42% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (42.39%) Indiana vs. Maryland (62.26% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (11.82%) Illinois vs. Minnesota (53.25% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (1.5%) Purdue vs. Iowa (4.21% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (38.79%) N’western vs. Wisconsin (48.74% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (8.54%) Minnesota vs. Illinois (46.75% win)
0% (0%, -99.99%), 0% (15.08%) Nebraska vs. BYE (0% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (56.37%) W Virginia vs. Kansas (93.39% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (1.6%) Kansas vs. W Virginia (6.61% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (9.38%) Kansas St vs. Iowa St (50.58% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (12.33%) Iowa St vs. Kansas St (49.42% win)
0% (0%, -99.99%), 0% (7.71%) Texas vs. BYE (0% win)
0% (0%, -99.99%), 0% (55%) Texas Tech vs. BYE (0% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (1.77%) Colorado vs. Wash St (14.22% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (50.63%) Arizona vs. Arizona St (50.63% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (25.48%) Arizona St vs. Arizona (49.37% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (6.84%) UCLA vs. Utah (43.08% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (31.52%) Utah vs. UCLA (56.92% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (10.9%) California vs. Stanford (20.52% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (43.95%) Oregon vs. USC (50.89% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (1.54%) Oregon St vs. Washington (23.25% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (16.63%) Washington vs. Oregon St (76.75% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (67.57%) Wash St vs. Colorado (85.78% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (2.44%) UConn vs. Houston (9.43% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (34.47%) Cincy vs. S Florida (49.71% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (21.54%) S Florida vs. Cincy (50.29% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (1.41%) C Florida vs. E Carolina (16.71% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (8.79%) Temple vs. Memphis (40.4% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (20.26%) E Carolina vs. C Florida (83.29% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (1.51%) SMU vs. Tulane (30.81% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (57.24%) Memphis vs. Temple (59.6% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (9.29%) Tulsa vs. Navy (12.86% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (22.4%) Tulane vs. SMU (69.19% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (66.3%) BYU vs. Fresno St (88.05% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (17.3%) Air Force vs. Boise St (53.1% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (32.59%) Colo St vs. New Mexico (44% win)
0% (0%, -99.99%), 0% (33.96%) Wyoming vs. BYE (0% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (8%) New Mexico vs. Colo St (56% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (22.76%) Boise St vs. Air Force (46.9% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (11.6%) Utah St vs. Nevada (43.73% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (8.4%) UNLV vs. SDSU (12.33% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (31.68%) SDSU vs. UNLV (87.67% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (18.25%) Nevada vs. Utah St (56.27% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (3.61%) Fresno St vs. BYU (11.95% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (12.72%) Hawaii vs. San Jose St (22.2% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (16.5%) San Jose St vs. Hawaii (77.8% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (21.59%) La Tech vs. UTEP (85.91% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (10.66%) UTEP vs. La Tech (14.09% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (52.63%) Rice vs. UTSA (66.16% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (4%) N Texas vs. M Tenn St (13.15% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (6.41%) UTSA vs. Rice (33.84% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (11.03%) So Miss vs. Old Dom (70.58% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (22.09%) Old Dom vs. So Miss (29.42% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (32.4%) W Kentucky vs. Fla Int’l (89.5% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (3.71%) Charlotte vs. Kentucky (15.36% win)
0% (0%, -99.99%), 0% (24.16%) Marshall vs. BYE (0% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (72.03%) M Tenn St vs. N Texas (86.85% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (10.5%) Fla Int’l vs. W Kentucky (10.5% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (1.09%) FAU vs. Florida (2.97% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (18.58%) Army vs. Rutgers (18.58% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (39.48%) Buffalo vs. Akron (51.08% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (20.93%) Ohio vs. Ball St (75.31% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (7.79%) Kent St vs. C Michigan (23.78% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (43.4%) Miami(OH) vs. UMass (43.4% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (34.39%) Akron vs. Buffalo (48.92% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (13.54%) UMass vs. Miami(OH) (56.6% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (64.8%) C Michigan vs. Kent St (76.22% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (3.68%) W Michigan vs. N Illinois (40.86% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (15.77%) N Illinois vs. W Michigan (59.14% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (2.06%) Ball St vs. Ohio (24.69% win)
0% (0%, -99.99%), 0% (9.01%) E Michigan vs. BYE (0% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (6.29%) Idaho vs. Auburn (11.26% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (3.37%) New Mexico St vs. La Lafayette (34.46% win)
0% (0%, -99.99%), 0% (18.44%) Troy vs. BYE (0% win)
0% (0%, -99.99%), 0% (82.49%) Arkansas St vs. BYE (0% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (8.61%) La Lafayette vs. New Mexico St (65.54% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (5.77%) La Monroe vs. Texas St (37.21% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (7.33%) S Alabama vs. Georgia St (75.78% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (2.8%) Texas St vs. La Monroe (62.79% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (1.79%) Georgia St vs. S Alabama (24.22% win)
0% (0%, 0%), 0% (23.01%) Ga Southern vs. Georgia (36.63% win)
0% (0%, -99.99%), 0% (58.3%) App St vs. BYE (0% win)

Record (conference) TEAM (NC/FF/NY6) (CC/DC) Wild Card Game
10.6229-1.3771(7-1) Florida (477/2290/7677)(3688/10000) 0
8.4872-3.5128(5-3) Georgia (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
7.3409-4.6591(4.3409-3.6591) Tennessee (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
4.0117-7.9883(1-7) S Carolina (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
5.0456-6.9544(2-6) Kentucky (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
5.6358-6.3642(1.6358-6.3642) Missouri (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
4.5346-7.4654(2.5346-5.4654) Vanderbilt (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
10.9021-1.0979(6.9045-1.0955) Alabama (2151/5974/9740)(6281/9894) 49
8.3064-2.6936(5.3064-2.6936) LSU (0/0/3845)(0/0) 1303
5.9829-6.0171(2.0955-5.9045) Auburn (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
7.2302-4.7698(5.2302-2.7698) Arkansas (0/0/389)(0/0) 0
7.8375-4.1625(4.8375-3.1625) Ole Miss (0/0/353)(31/106) 0
8.067-3.933(4.067-3.933) Texas A*M (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.0476-3.9524(4.0476-3.9524) Miss St (0/0/394)(0/0) 0
9.3422-2.6578(6-2) Florida St (0/0/81)(0/0) 0
11.9133-0.0867(7.9674-0.0326) Clemson (1634/6300/9647)(6666/10000) 0
3.5094-8.4906(0.4729-7.5271) BC (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
3.2775-8.7225(1.2775-6.7225) W Forest (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
7.2851-4.7149(5.4843-2.5157) Louisville (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
6.9767-5.0233(2.9767-5.0233) NC State (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
3.7421-8.2579(1.7421-6.2579) Syracuse (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.0495-3.9505(6.0495-1.9505) Pittsburgh (0/0/16)(16/92) 0
7.2608-4.7392(4.2608-3.7392) Miami (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
3.3519-8.6481(1.2054-6.7946) Ga Tech (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
5.8442-6.1558(3.8442-4.1558) Va Tech (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
3.642-8.358(2.642-5.358) Virginia (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
10.6384-1.3616(7.6384-0.3616) UNC (116/924/3338)(3318/9908) 0
7.4388-4.5612(4.4388-3.5612) Duke (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
10.5806-1.4194(10.5806-1.4194) N Dame (578/2829/8262)(10000/0) 5075
2.8203-9.1797(0.8203-7.1797) Maryland (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
7.6152-4.3848(4.6152-3.3848) Penn State (0/2/148)(28/81) 3
11.3933-0.6067(7.3933-0.6067) Ohio St (2069/5358/9188)(4082/6104) 2693
4.3713-7.6287(1.5571-6.4429) Rutgers (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
5.2993-6.7007(1.2993-6.7007) Indiana (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.9451-3.0549(5.9451-2.0549) Michigan (93/534/2005)(631/1420) 441
10.0464-1.9536(6.0464-1.9536) Mich St (257/1158/4319)(1186/2395) 126
9.339-2.661(6.339-1.661) Wisconsin (0/2/2601)(16/42) 272
5.7416-6.2584(2.7416-5.2584) Illinois (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
2.3654-9.6346(1.3654-6.6346) Purdue (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
9.2783-2.7217(5.2783-2.7217) N’western (0/0/3190)(0/0) 870
4.6411-7.3589(1.6411-6.3589) Minnesota (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
11.8071-0.1929(7.8071-0.1929) Iowa (656/3435/8810)(4057/9958) 0
5.1508-6.8492(3.1508-4.8492) Nebraska (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
7.4788-4.5212(4.4788-4.5212) W Virginia (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
0.2601-11.7399(0.2601-8.7399) Kansas (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
4.5377-7.4623(1.5377-7.4623) Kansas St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
3.7234-8.2766(2.7234-6.2766) Iowa St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
10.0255-1.9745(7.0255-1.9745) Oklahoma (471/2383/7218)(2694/0) 2422
9.9854-2.0146(6.9854-2.0146) TCU (23/206/3024)(373/0) 1893
11.2115-0.7885(8.2115-0.7885) OK State (831/3853/8484)(5989/0) 2801
4.6108-7.3892(3.6108-5.3892) Texas (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
6.55-5.45(3.55-5.45) Texas Tech (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
9.6168-2.3832(6.6168-2.3832) Baylor (15/135/1867)(944/0) 724
4.2519-8.7481(1.2519-7.7481) Colorado (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
6.5063-5.4937(3.5063-5.4937) Arizona (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
5.9979-6.0021(3.9979-5.0021) Arizona St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.0653-3.9347(6.0653-2.9347) USC (10/69/2091)(1996/4384) 0
7.8566-4.1434(4.8566-4.1434) UCLA (0/0/712)(684/1849) 0
9.4595-2.5405(6.4595-2.5405) Utah (0/0/1870)(1708/3767) 0
6.701-5.299(3.701-5.299) California (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.4534-3.5466(6.4534-2.5466) Oregon (0/0/979)(524/975) 0
2.288-9.712(0.288-8.712) Oregon St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
9.1777-2.8223(7.7948-1.2052) Stanford (82/637/5201)(5088/9025) 0
4.9835-7.0165(2.9835-6.0165) Washington (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.6418-3.3582(6.6418-2.3582) Wash St (0/0/79)(0/0) 0
5.3206-6.6794(3.3206-4.6794) UConn (0/0/0)(0/6) 0
7.2549-4.7451(4.2549-3.7451) Cincy (0/0/0)(91/490) 0
7.4405-4.5595(5.4405-2.5595) S Florida (0/0/8)(708/3447) 0
0.2295-11.7705(0.2295-7.7705) C Florida (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
9.1777-2.8223(6.1777-1.8223) Temple (0/0/383)(1674/6057) 0
5.0751-6.9249(3.0751-4.9249) E Carolina (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
11.4829-0.5171(7.4829-0.5171) Houston (453/3133/5102)(4468/5772) 4
1.3529-10.6471(0.3529-7.6471) SMU (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
9.5512-2.4488(5.5512-2.4488) Memphis (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
5.814-6.186(2.814-5.186) Tulsa (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
4.0065-7.9935(2.0065-5.9935) Tulane (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
9.2942-1.7058(7.2942-0.7058) Navy (80/745/2885)(3059/4228) 0
8.6288-3.3712(8.6288-3.3712) BYU (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.1585-3.8415(6.1585-1.8415) Air Force (0/0/3)(2401/4822) 0
6.1791-5.8209(4.1791-3.8209) Colo St (0/0/0)(23/77) 0
1.3396-10.6604(1.3396-6.6604) Wyoming (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
6.9325-5.0675(4.9325-3.0675) New Mexico (0/0/0)(828/2200) 0
8.2617-3.7383(5.2617-2.7383) Boise St (0/0/0)(1398/2901) 0
5.689-6.311(4.4373-3.5627) Utah St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
3.7837-8.2163(2.7837-5.2163) UNLV (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.5371-3.4629(7.5371-0.4629) SDSU (0/0/1)(5234/9714) 0
6.9023-5.0977(4.9023-3.0977) Nevada (0/0/0)(116/286) 0
3.3804-8.6196(2.2609-5.7391) Fresno St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
2.7766-10.2234(0.222-7.778) Hawaii (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
4.9853-7.0147(3.9853-4.0147) San Jose St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.4307-3.5693(6.4307-1.5693) La Tech (0/0/9)(2469/5716) 0
4.8648-7.1352(2.8648-5.1352) UTEP (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
5.448-6.552(3.448-4.552) Rice (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
1.4076-10.5924(1.4076-6.5924) N Texas (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
2.5159-9.4841(2.5159-5.4841) UTSA (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.1342-3.8658(6.1342-1.8658) So Miss (0/0/5)(1534/4284) 0
6.0376-5.9624(4.0376-3.9624) Old Dom (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
9.4671-2.5329(7.4671-0.5329) W Kentucky (0/0/716)(3581/5721) 0
2.3672-9.6328(0.2136-7.7864) Charlotte (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
9.4279-2.5721(6.4279-1.5721) Marshall (0/0/39)(2416/4279) 0
6.691-5.309(5.691-2.309) M Tenn St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
5.105-6.895(3.105-4.895) Fla Int’l (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
2.2863-9.7137(2.2566-5.7434) FAU (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
2.1858-8.8142(2.1858-8.8142) Army (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
6.2795-5.7205(4.2795-3.7205) Buffalo (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
7.0285-4.9715(4.0285-3.9715) Ohio (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
9.4472-2.5528(7.4472-0.5528) BGU (0/8/3355)(6228/10000) 0
3.551-8.449(2.551-5.449) Kent St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
2.434-9.566(1.434-6.566) Miami(OH) (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
6.176-5.824(4.176-3.824) Akron (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
2.7973-9.2027(1.7973-6.2027) UMass (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
6.6721-5.3279(5.6721-2.3279) C Michigan (0/0/0)(78/579) 0
6.6914-5.3086(5.6914-2.3086) W Michigan (0/0/13)(459/1537) 0
8.316-3.684(6.316-1.684) N Illinois (0/0/181)(1713/4783) 0
9.2031-1.7969(6.2031-1.7969) Toledo (4/25/1772)(1522/3101) 46
3.3138-8.6862(2.3138-5.6862) Ball St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
1.0901-10.9099(0.0901-7.9099) E Michigan (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
3.6292-8.3708(2.5166-5.4834) Idaho (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
3.1576-8.8424(3.1576-4.8424) New Mexico St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
3.85-8.15(2.85-5.15) Troy (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.8142-3.1858(7.8142-0.1858) Arkansas St (0/0/0)(9909/0) 0
5.4952-6.5048(4.4952-3.5048) La Lafayette (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
2.112-10.888(0.6666-7.3334) La Monroe (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
6.3404-5.6596(4.3404-3.6596) S Alabama (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
3.1896-8.8104(2.1896-5.8104) Texas St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
3.8528-8.1472(2.8528-5.1472) Georgia St (0/0/0)(0/0) 0
8.9616-3.0384(6.5953-1.4047) Ga Southern (0/0/0)(25/0) 0
9.5217-2.4783(6.5217-1.4783) App St (0/0/0)(66/0) 0

Impact of remaining games of the playoff
#1 (72.09%) Alabama vs. BYE (63.87% win)
#2 (59.87%) OK State vs. Oklahoma (54.4% win)
#3 (50.59%) Iowa vs. BYE (40.99% win)
#4 (49.04%) UNC vs. BYE (34.1% win)
#5 (39.24%) Ohio St vs. Mich St (67.4% win)
#6 (33.11%) Houston vs. Navy (57.72% win)
#7 (27.81%) N Dame vs. Stanford (61.71% win)
#8 (26.2%) Ohio St vs. Michigan (71.93% win)
#9 (20.73%) Oklahoma vs. TCU (56.95% win)
#10 (19.67%) OK State vs. Baylor (66.75% win)
#11 (11.94%) Florida vs. Florida St (65.26% win)
#12 (5.67%) Navy vs. BYE (88.31% win)
#13 (5.59%) Iowa vs. Nebraska (84.92% win)
#14 (4.71%) Alabama vs. Auburn (90.45% win)
#15 (4.54%) Mich St vs. Penn State (72.04% win)
#16 (4.34%) Stanford vs. BYE (60.63% win)
#17 (3.33%) TCU vs. Baylor (55.49% win)
#18 (3.26000000000001%) Houston vs. UConn (90.57% win)
#19 (2.92%) Clemson vs. S Carolina (94.59% win)
#20 (2.72%) Michigan vs. Penn State (66.44% win)
#21 (2.19%) UNC vs. NC State (80.83% win)
#22 (1.89%) UNC vs. Va Tech (83.01% win)
#23 (1.64%) Stanford vs. California (79.48% win)
#24 (1.52%) Clemson vs. W Forest (96.74% win)
#25 (1.36%) Iowa vs. Purdue (95.79% win)
#26 (1.09%) Navy vs. Tulsa (87.14% win)
#27 (1.07%) N Dame vs. BC (96.35% win)
#28 (0.71%) Oregon vs. USC (50.89% win)
#29 (0.68%) Florida vs. FAU (97.03% win)
#30 (0.51%) USC vs. UCLA (57.42% win)
#31 (0.33%) BGU vs. Toledo (51.41% win)
#32 (0.25%) Baylor vs. Texas (83.92% win)
#33 (0.129999999999995%) Alabama vs. FCS (99.76% win)
#34 (0.09%) Toledo vs. W Michigan (71.72% win)
#35 (0.08%) Toledo vs. BYE (84.21% win)
#36 (0.01%) Wisconsin vs. N’western (51.26% win)

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